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Gold is trading around $3,961 under downward pressure after starting the week with a drop below the 2/8 Murray level. Technically, gold could continue to fall in the coming days until it reaches the lower band of the downtrend channel around $3,790; it could even reach the 0/8 Murray level around $3,750.
This decline in gold has brought prices to levels last seen in November 2025. Consolidation is likely to occur in the coming days around $3,750 and below $4,062.
If gold recovers to the psychologically important $4,000 level and consolidates above $4,062, the outlook could turn positive, potentially leading to a recovery toward the 21 SMA at $4,166 and eventually reaching the 3/8 Murray level at around $4,218.
A decisive break above $4,218 could be a positive signal for gold, potentially driving it toward the 200 EMA around $4,418.
Our outlook for gold is positive in the coming days, as it has technically reached oversold levels. So, the odds are for a technical rebound above the low at about $3,942.
Gold has a key support level around $3,906. However, this 1/8 Murray zone is a very weak level, so every time it reaches this zone, bearish pressure could prevail and push prices down to $3,790.
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