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21.08.202613:36 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Cryptocurrency Trading Recommendations – August 21 (U.S. Session)

Relevance up to 07:00 2026-08-22 UTC--4
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Bitcoin, which surged above $79,000, has finally crossed the very level that served as a psychological dividing line for the world's largest corporate holder of the asset for several months.

Exchange Rates 21.08.2026 analysis

Strategy's reserve of 840,447 bitcoins, acquired at an average price of $75,385 per coin for a total of $63.36 billion, has returned to profitability for the first time since the spring of this year. At a price of around $77,000, the company's unrealized profit was approximately $1.4 billion, or about 2.4% of the position's value, and this figure increased further as the price continued to rise toward $79,000.

The scale of the reversal becomes clearer when compared with the recent past. When Bitcoin fell to $58,000 in July, Strategy's unrealized loss reached approximately $13 billion, equivalent to 20.4% of the total acquisition cost, while just a week ago the company was sitting on paper losses of around $10.6 billion. The pressure from these losses forced Saylor to break his long-standing principle of "never sell a single satoshi." Since spring, the company has sold part of its reserve five times, realizing a combined loss of more than $102 million and selling approximately 6,916 bitcoins to fund dividends on STRC preferred shares. The return of the price above the average acquisition cost puts all these painful decisions in a different light: the company sold the asset exclusively below the breakeven point, while it continues to hold its core position at a level where it is now generating a profit.

Bitcoin

Exchange Rates 21.08.2026 analysis

Buy Scenario

Scenario #1: I will buy Bitcoin today when the entry point is reached around $78,700, with a target of $80,700. Around $80,700, I will close the long position and immediately sell on a rebound. Before buying on a breakout, make sure that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and that the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.

Scenario #2: Bitcoin can be bought from the lower boundary at $77,300 if there is no market reaction to a breakout below this level and the price returns toward $78,700 and $80,700.

Sell Scenario

Scenario #1: I will sell Bitcoin today when the entry point is reached around $77,300, with a target of $74,300. Around $74,300, I will close the short position and immediately buy on a rebound. Before selling on a breakout, make sure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and that the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.

Scenario #2: Bitcoin can be sold from the upper boundary at $72,300 if there is no market reaction to a breakout above this level and the price returns toward $71,500 and $70,300.

Ethereum

Exchange Rates 21.08.2026 analysis

Buy Scenario

Scenario #1: I will buy Ethereum today when the entry point is reached around $2,409, with a target of $2,475. Around $2,475, I will close the long position and immediately sell on a rebound. Before buying on a breakout, make sure that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and that the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.

Scenario #2: Ethereum can be bought from the lower boundary at $2,377 if there is no market reaction to a breakout below this level and the price returns toward $2,409 and $2,475.

Sell Scenario

Scenario #1: I will sell Ethereum today when the entry point is reached around $2,377, with a target of $2,310. Around $2,310, I will close the short position and immediately buy on a rebound. Before selling on a breakout, make sure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and that the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.

Scenario #2: Ethereum can be sold from the upper boundary at $2,409 if there is no market reaction to a breakout above this level and the price returns toward $2,377 and $2,310.

Miroslaw Bawulski
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026

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