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The Dollar index got rejected and reversed from our 95 target as expected. Price is in a bearish short-term trend making lower lows and lower highs. Price could soon start a bounce that could unfold into a bigger move as explained by our alternative wave scenarios yesterday.
Blue lines - bearish channel
The Dollar index is trading below the 4-hour Ichimoku cloud. Trend is bearish as price remains inside the bearish channel. Price has stopped the decline at the 38% Fibonacci retracement. The Dollar index could make another new low towards the 93 level however bulls should be very cautious as there are bullish alternative wave scenarios we talked about yesterday that should not be ignored.
On a weekly basis, the Dollar index is in a bearish trend. Price got rejected at the kijun-sen and the 38% Fibonacci retracement. Price remains now above the tenkan-sen. There are many chances the Dollar index bounces from current levels or a bit lower towards the weekly Kumo and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. So bears need to be cautious.
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