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The yields of the 10-year-old US jumped over 3.10%, but the dollar's reaction disappoints. The prime leads the GBP thanks to information on Brexit, and AUD found support in a solid report from the labor market. EUR/USD bounced back from 1.1760 on Wednesday, and managed to reach 1.1830 after the information was denied that the new ruling coalition in Italy wanted the ECB to write off EUR 250 billion of Italian bonds. USD/JPY has stopped in the range of 110.0-110.40. There is a mixed picture in the stock market. On the one hand, Japanese Nikkei managed to gain 0.7%, and in China Shanghai Composite loses 0.4%. Gold remains under the pressure of growing profitability and barely defends itself against a more durable decline of $1,290. Not much is happening in the oil market, where WTI is testing the recent highs at 71.70.
On Thursday, 17th of May, the event calendar is full of important data. Canada will issue Foreign Securities Purchases and ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data. The US will present Philly Fed Manufacturing Index data, Unemployment Claims and Continuing Claims data, CB Leading Index data, and EIA Natural Gas Storage Change data. Moreover, there are two speeches scheduled later today where FOMC Member Neel Kashkari and Rober Kaplan and MPC Member Andy Haldane participate.
AUD/USD analysis for 17/05/2018:
The labor market of Australia confirmed its good condition. In April employment increased by 22.6k against a forecast of 20k. Full-time employment increased by 37.5k due to a drop of 25.1k a month earlier. Part-time work decreased by 10k after an increase of 24.4k earlier, the improvement in the composition of employment is good and covered the increase in the unemployment rate to 5.6% from 5.5%.
Let's now take a look at the AUD/USD technical picture after the data has been published. The market has initially moved towards 0.7550, but is slowly retreating to 0.7530. Nevertheless, the market is bouncing from the oversold conditions and the next target is seen at the level of 0.7563, which is a 38% Fibo of the previous swing down. Any breakout through this level will directly expose the technical resistance at the level of 0.7578 - 0.7589 to test. The immediate technical support is seen at the level of 0.7472 and 0.7445.
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