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Yesterday, the single European currency fell by 70 points as the 10-year US bond. The German Ministry of Economy has lowered the forecast for GDP for the current year from 2.4% to 2.3%. In the US, the rate of 30-year mortgages for the week increased from 4.66% to 4.73%. The rate of development will undoubtedly increase the growth of purchase of housing, which is considered an important indicator.
As of this moment, the preparation of the coalition was unnoticed by the markets. Next week, the first stage of the race will be held between the Democratic Party and the "5 Stars" party. However, the positive expectations were associated with a pessimistic option, if the coalition will not be created, general re-elections can be immediately appointed.
At 2:45 PM London time today, the ECB will announce its monetary policy decision and the ECB President Mario Draghi will have his speech at 3:30 London time. The general expectation of the markets of today's meeting is the only one in the world. The tone of Draghi will be neutral and investors will switch their attention back to events in the US.
In the United States, today's events are expected to be good. The trade balance for March is projected to grow from -75.9 billion dollars to -74.8 billion. Weekly applications for unemployment. The volume of orders for durable goods (Durable Goods Orders) in March is projected to increase by 1.6% after 3.0% in the previous month. Core indicator (Core Durable Goods Orders) is expected to grow by 0.5%. Wholesale inventories for March are expected to grow by 0.6%. As a result, we expect the euro to fall into the range of 1.2050 / 90.
* The presented market analysis is informative and does not constitute a guide to the transaction.
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