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Yesterday's close occurred below the WCZ 1/2 0.9904 – 0.9892. Bearish movement becomes an impulse. The main objective of the decline is the weekly CZ 0.9784 – 0.9761. Reaching this zone will complete the first cycle of the bearish trend. It is important to note that today the pair is trading within the lower middle course zone. The probability of closing the auction below the level of 0.9862 is 30%.
Work in the downward direction will be the main at the beginning of next week. It is important to get more favorable prices for the sale of the instrument. This will allow you to enter a position with a favorable risk-to-profit ratio.
An alternative model for continuing the fall will be developed if today's fall leads to the closing of trading outside the average weekly move. This will increase the probability of a return upward movement to 90%. It is important to understand that the upward movement until the test of the lower weekly control zone will remain corrective.
Daily CZ – daily control zone. An area formed by important data from the futures market that changes several times a year.
Weekly CZ – weekly control zone. The zone formed by the important marks of the futures market, which change several times a year.
Monthly CZ – monthly control zone. An area that reflects the average volatility over the past year.
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