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Commodity currencies - where will we move? - A comprehensive analysis of the options for the development of the movement #USDX vs AUD / USD vs USD / CAD vs NZD / USD from November 13, 2019 on the operational scale of Minute (time frame h4 ).
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US dollar Index
The movement of the dollar index #USDX from November 13, 2019 will be due to the development and range breakdown direction :
In case of breakdown of ISL38.2 Minuette (resistance level of 98.40), the movement of the dollar index will continue in the equilibrium zone (98.40 - 98.77 - 99.14) of the Minuette operational scale forks.
Consecutive breakdown of support levels :
- 98.30 (the initial SSL line of the Minuette operational scale forks);
- 98.25 (the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel of the Minuette operational scale forks);
will make the development of the #USDX movement relevant within the 1/2 Median Line channels of the Minuette operational scale (98.25 - 98.00 - 97.75) and Minuette (98.15 - 98.04 - 97.92).
The markup of #USDX movement options from November 13, 2019 is shown in the animated chart.
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Australian dollar vs US dollar
The development of the movement of the Australian dollar AUD / USD from November 13, 2019 will depend on the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (0.6858 - 0.6840 - 0.6825) of the Minuette operational scale forks. The details of the development of the boundaries of this equilibrium zone are presented in the animated chart.
With a combined breakdown of the lower boundary of ISL61.8 (support level of 0.6825) of the equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks and 1/2 Median Line Minuette (0.6820), the downward movement of the Australian dollar can be continued to the goals: the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (0.6793) - the end line SSL Minuette (0.6775) - the upper boundary of the ISL38.2 (0.6765) equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks
The breakdown of the upper boundary of ISL38.2 (resistance level of 0.6858) of the equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks will determine the development of the upward movement AUD / USD, the goals of which will be: the initial SSL line (0.6895) of the Minuette operational scale forks - the initial SSL line Minuette (0.6905) - maximum0.6931.
From November 13, 2019, we look at the layout of the AUD / USD movement options on the animated chart.
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New Zealand dollar vs US dollar
Starting from November 13, 2019, the development of the movement of the New Zealand dollar NZD / USD will be determined by the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (0.6365 - 0.6345 - 0.6330) of the Minuette operational scale forks. The marking of the development of the above levels is shown in the animation chart.
The consecutive breakdown of the lower boundary of ISL61.8 (support level of 0.6330) of the equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks and 1/2 Median Line Minuette (0.6325) will determine the development of the movement of the New Zealand dollar to the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel (0.6275) fof the Minuette operational scale forks and the final line FSL (0.6265 of the Minuette operational scale forks.
Now, with a combined breakdown of the upper boundary of ISL38.2 (resistance level of 0.6365) of the equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks and the upper boundary of the channel 1/2 of the Median Line (0.6375) of the of the Minuette operational scale forks, the upward movement of NZD / USD can continue to the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (0.6415 - 0.6430 - 0.6445).
The marking options for movement NZD / USD from November 13, 2019 are present on the animated chart.
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US dollar vs Canadian dollar
The development of the movement of the Canadian dollar USD / CAD from November 13, 2019 will be due to the development and direction of the breakdown of the range :
A consecutive breakdown of the support level of 1.3215 will make it relevant to continue the development of the Canadian dollar movement within the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line channel (1.3215 - 1.3250 - 1.3190) and the equilibrium zone (1.3197 - 1.3175 - 1.3157) of the Minuette operational scale with the prospect of reaching a local minimum 1.3114.
On the contrary, the breakdown of the resistance level of 1.3240 on the Median Line of the Minuette operational scale forks will direct the development of the USD / CAD movement to the targets: local maximum 1.3260 - the upper boundary of ISL61.8 (1.3280) the equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks with the prospect of reaching a maximum of 1.3347.
From November 13, 2019, we look at the layout of USD / CAD movement options in the animated chart.
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The review is made without taking into account the news background. Thus, the opening of trading sessions of major financial centers does not serve as a guide to action (placing orders " sell " or " buy ")
The formula for calculating the dollar index:
USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.
where the power coefficients correspond to the weights of the currencies in the basket:
Euro - 57.6%;
Yen - 13.6%;
Pound Sterling - 11.9%;
Canadian dollar - 9.1%;
Swedish Krona - 4.2%;
Swiss franc - 3.6%.
The first coefficient in the formula leads the index to 100 at the start date of the countdown - March 1973, when the main currencies began to be freely quoted relative to each other.
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