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Technical analysis recommendations for EUR/USD and GBP/USD on July 3
EUR / USD
The situation has not undergone significant changes over the past day. The pair remains in the attraction zone of 1.1245-25 (monthly medium-term trend + weekly long-term trend + daily short-term). Today, we are closing the week. As a result, the issue of the length of the upper shadow of the weekly candle and the ability of downside players to return to the weekly bearish cloud before closing will be decided again. The main conclusions and expectations in the current situation remain the same. Players on the rise to further restore positions need to stay above 1.1225-45, the following pivot points while serving as 1.1349 (the closest extremum) and resistance in the region of 1.1389 - 1.1422 (monthly Fibo Kijun + maximum correction). It is important for players to decline to 1.1225-45 and eliminate the daily Golden cross, then the benchmarks for them are located at 1.1167 (weekly Fibo Kijun) and around 1.1065 - 1.1100.
Uncertainty dominates. At lower time intervals, market participants act with varying success, forming sideways movements with the center of gravity in the region of key H1 levels, which combine their efforts today in the region of 1.1255-39 (central Pivot level + weekly long-term trend). Working above levels gives preference to players to increase, their pivot points within the day are the resistance of the classic Pivot levels 1.1287 - 1.1335 - 1.1367. Work below the levels of 1.1255-39 transfers initiative and advantages to the players to lower. The downward trends within the day today are located at 1.1207 - 1.1175 - 1.1127.
GBP / USD
The pair tested the nearest resistance 1.2528 (daily Kijun + weekly Fibo Kijun) yesterday and returned to the area of attraction 1.2440-60 (weekly Tenkan + monthly cross). Today, we are closing the week. For players to increase, it is advisable not to develop yesterday's daily rebound from resistance and maintain their position above 1.2440-60. It is not easy to achieve an advantage for the players to lower in the current situation, therefore, we can only note the support, breaking through which will contribute to the possible further strengthening of the players to decline - 1.2397 (daily Tenkan) - 1.2312 - 1.2288 (daily cloud + weekly Kijun).
Despite the fact that the advantage at lower time intervals is now on the side of the players to increase, the initiative belongs to the opponent, who seeks to develop a downward correction. One of the important levels in this direction is 1.2484 (central Pivot-level of the day), the bears have managed to gain a foothold below and are now attempting to retest the level, and 1.2389 (weekly long-term trend). Anchoring can change the current balance of power and open up new prospects for downside players.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (9.26.52), Pivot Points (classic), Moving Average (120)
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