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EUR/USD
Analysis:
In the short term, the current trend direction of the European currency since the beginning of the year is set by the descending wave algorithm. The wave has reached the lowest possible level of elongation. The upward movement of the last weeks does not go beyond the correction of the final part (C) of the current wave.
Forecast:
The most likely scenario today will be the continuation of the price movement in the side corridor between the opposite zones. After the pressure on the support zone, you can expect a reversal and a second rise to the resistance area.
Potential reversal zones
Resistance:
- 1.1960/1.1990
Support:
- 1.1900/1.1870
Recommendations:
Trading the euro in a flat environment today is risky and can be unprofitable. Purchases within intraday with fractional lots are safer.
AUD/USD
Analysis:
The current wave structure in the Australian dollar market is descending, with a reference point on February 25. Since the beginning of this month, an irregular correction has been developing on the chart, which has not yet been completed.
Forecast:
Today, the sideways mood of the pair's movement is expected to continue. After the likely pressure on the support zone, by the end of the day, the exchange rate is expected to change and a second attempt to grow to the upper border of the flat corridor.
Potential reversal zones
Resistance:
- 0.7790/0.7820
Support:
- 0.7720/0.7690
Recommendations:
Trading on the Australian dollar market today is possible only within the intraday, with a reduced lot. In the coming sessions, purchases of the instrument will be more promising.
GBP/JPY
Analysis:
As a result of the upward momentum, the pair's quotes reached the boundaries of the strong zone of the potential reversal of the weekly TF. The width of this zone exceeds three price figures. Since February 28, the incomplete wave model of the hourly TF has been developing upwards. It is premature to wait for a trend change until its structure is completed.
Forecast:
In the first half of the day, a short-term decline in the support area is not excluded. Next, you should wait for a repeated re-growth of the rate, with an attempt to break through the calculated resistance. Increased activity is more likely at the end of the day.
Potential reversal zones
Resistance:
- 152.00/152.30
Support:
- 151.20/150.90
Recommendations:
Until there are clear signals of a change in the current upward trend, there are no conditions for selling the pair on the market. It is recommended to track the signals for buying the pair at the end of all downward movements.
Explanation: In the simplified wave analysis (UVA), waves consist of 3 parts (A-B-C). The last incomplete wave is analyzed. The solid background of the arrows shows the formed structure, and the dotted line shows the expected movements.
Attention: The wave algorithm does not take into account the duration of the tool movements in time!
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