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Analysis of transactions in the GBP / USD pair
Pound tested 1.1685 at a time when the MACD line was far from zero, which limited the upside potential of the pair. Sometime later, it tested the level again, but this time the MACD line was moving down, which was a good signal to sell. This resulted to a price decrease, albeit by just 15-20 pips.
Important reports on the UK labor amrket will be released today, which may lead to a surge in volatility. For example, better-than-expected unemployment rate and average earnings will return demand for pound, which will lead to a new upward spurt and new highs. If the reports are disappointing, sellers may seize the moment and return to the market before the publication of important US data. That being said, CPI in the US will come out in the afternoon, which, if shows a slowdown and a decrease, will return risk appetite and lead to another rise of GBP/USD to monthly highs.
For long positions:
Buy pound when the quote reaches 1.1728 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.1796 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur if statistics in the UK exceed expectations.
Take note that when buying, the MACD line should be above zero or is starting to rise from it. It is also possible to buy at 1.1682, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.1728 and 1.1796.
For short positions:
Sell pound when the quote reaches 1.1682 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.1603. Pressure will return if US inflation surges again.
Take note that when selling, the MACD line should be below zero or is starting to move down from it. Pound can also be sold at 1.1728, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.1682 and 1.1603.
What's on the chart:
The thin green line is the key level at which you can place long positions in the GBP/USD pair.
The thick green line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move above this level.
The thin red line is the level at which you can place short positions in the GBP/USD pair.
The thick red line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move below this level.
MACD line - when entering the market, it is important to be guided by the overbought and oversold zones.
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.
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