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The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas’s preferred inflation gauge, the Dallas Fed PCE, jumped to 2.90% in March 2026, up sharply from 1.80% in February 2026. The move signals a notable acceleration in underlying price pressures in the United States over the one-month period.
The February reading had shown inflation running at 1.80%, suggesting relatively subdued price growth at that time. However, the March figure, updated on 30 April 2026, places the indicator much closer to — and above in some interpretations — levels typically associated with the Federal Reserve’s long-run inflation objective, potentially reshaping market expectations around the trajectory of monetary policy.
Investors and analysts will be watching upcoming data closely to determine whether March’s 2.90% reading represents a one-off spike or the start of a more persistent pickup in inflation as measured by the Dallas Fed’s PCE metric.
