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19.03.201908:24 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on March 19, 2019

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

GBP/USD

Yesterday, the speaker of the House of Commons of the British Parliament, John Bercow, forbade Theresa May to re-vote the draft agreement with the EU without changes, on which there was already a vote. Now the decision to postpone the launch of the UK exit from the EU will be made at the EU Summit on the 21st. If such a move or given that there is a slight postponement, the British pound can safely fall. We also strongly doubt that the pound will grow with a significant postponement of the X date, since with the remaining uncertainty, the pound does not receive any political, economic, or even psychological grounds for growth.

The pound's decline on Monday was stopped by the indicator lines of the balance simultaneously on both charts. Today, during the Asian session, the price managed to fixate above the line of MACD on the H4. The Marlin oscillator at the same scale is completely in neutral position - the signal line at the border separating the growth zone from the decline zone.

Exchange Rates 19.03.2019 analysis

A double divergence remains in effect on the daily chart. The price may still rise to any Fibonacci level on the four-hour chart (110.0%, 123.6%), but now it is more difficult than it was on Monday.

Consolidating prices below the level of 1.3210 – the level of Fibonacci on the H4 to 76.4% (near the high of 25 of January) – opens the way for further weakness towards the support of the MACD line on the daily scale of 1.3000 and further to support the embedded line of the price channel 1.2904.

Exchange Rates 19.03.2019 analysis

Laurie Bailey
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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