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Trend analysis
In January, the continuation of the upward movement is possible to the first target, namely the upper fractal of 1.2553 (blue dotted line) – monthly candlestick from 01/02/2018. If this level is broken upwards, the next upper target will be 1.2803 – the historical resistance level (blue dotted line).
Figure 1 (monthly chart)
A possible upward movement can be concluded based on complex analysis.
The overall result of the candlestick calculation based on the monthly chart: the price will most likely have an upward trend, with the first lower shadow (first week of the month – bottom) in the monthly white candlestick and without the second upper shadow (last week – white).
General scenario: the price from the level of 1.2216 (closing of the December monthly candlestick) can continue to rise to the first target of 1.2554 (blue dotted line) – upper fractal (monthly candle from 01/02/2018). In case that this level is broken upwards, the next upper target will be 1.2803 – the historical resistance level (blue dotted line).
An unlikely scenario: a downward movement from the level of 1.2281 (closing of the December monthly candlestick) to the target of 1.2067 – a pullback level of 14.6% (red dotted line) is unlikely.
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