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21.10.202220:15 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/CAD erases latest gains

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

The USD/CAD pair crashed in the last hours as the Dollar Index plunged and erased today's gains. The currency pair was trading at 1.3669 at the time of writing and it seems very heavy. Still, after its massive drop, the rate could try to rebound.

Still, if the DXY continues to drop, the USD could lose more ground versus its rivals. Fundamentally, the CAD received a helping hand from the Canadian Retail Sales indicator which reported a 0.7% growth compared to the 0.2% expected, and from Core Retail Sales, the indicator surged by 0.7% exceeding the 0.3% growth expected.

As you already know, the USD depreciated also after Japan intervened in the FX market today.

USD/CAD Range Pattern!

Exchange Rates 21.10.2022 analysis

As you can see on the H1 chart, the USD/CAD pair registered only a false breakout through 1.3810 and now it is challenging the range's support of 1.3656. The upper median line (uml) of the descending pitchfork stands as a dynamic resistance.

As long as it stays under it, the USD/CAD pair could drop deeper. Escaping from this range could bring us new opportunities.

USD/CAD Forecast!

Its false upside breakout may signal a downside breakout. So, dropping and closing below 1.3656 activates more declines and bring new selling opportunities. The median line (ml) could still attract the rate as long as it stays within the pitchfork's body.

Ralph Shedler
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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