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Early in the European session, gold was trading around 2,046.27, above the 21 SMA and below the 200 EMA. On the H1 chart, we can see that gold rebounded after reaching the area of 2,030. Now, it is showing a positive outlook but it is facing the top of the downtrend channel formed on December 27th.
Yesterday, data from pollster ADP on US job creation reported that 164,000 jobs were added, much more than the 115,000 expected by analysts. This favored the US dollar and as a result, we saw a technical correction in gold, but due to oversold conditions, it resumed its upward cycle.
If in the next hours, the XAU/USD remains above 2,044 it could continue to rise and it could reach 2,053 and it could even reach 5/8 Murray located at 2,062, and finally the top of the main downtrend channel around 2,065.
On the other hand, if gold falls below 2,041, we could expect a continuation of the downward movement and it could reach 2,030 and even the psychological level of $2,000 (4/8 Murray).
On the chart, we can see the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern whose breakout could give us a signal to trade in the next hours.
The eagle indicator on January 4 reached 5 points which represents oversold conditions and gold is likely to continue rising in the coming hours if it consolidates above 2,043.
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