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Early in the European session, gold is trading around 2,023.38, bouncing after reaching the 2,001 low yesterday, very close to the psychological level of $2,000. This level coincided with the bottom of the downtrend channel forming since December 26.
According to the H4 chart, XAU/USD has a strong resistance zone around the 21 SMA located at 2,026 and around the 200 EMA located at 2,030 and finally, 5/8 Murray around 2,031. If gold attempts to break this area and fails to break out, it could be seen as an opportunity to sell below 2,026-2,032.
On the contrary, in case gold consolidates above 2,032, we could expect it to reach the top of the downtrend channel around 2,047. This level could also offer strong resistance and we could expect a technical correction to occur.
Technically, gold is in a bearish trend and this current bounce could be seen as an opportunity to resume selling. Only if gold consolidates below 2,032, this could be seen as an opportunity to sell with a target at 2,015.
The daily pivot point is located around 2,015. This level represents a key area for gold. So, if it trades above this area in the coming days, we could expect a recovery and the price could reach 2,030 and 2,045.
In case gold falls below 2,015, we could expect a bearish acceleration. The instrument could reach the psychological level of $2,000 around 4/8 Murray and could even reach the weekly support of 1,992.
For the next few hours, our outlook could remain bearish for gold. Therefore, we could look for opportunities to sell only if gold falls below 2,032. The eagle indicator is giving a positive signal but a technical correction is likely to resume buy positions. A good idea would be to wait until 2,015 to buy.
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