03.04.202505:07 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Oil Forecast for April 3, 2025

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Oil (CL)

Market participants anticipate a disruption in global trade following President Trump's sweeping tariffs imposed yesterday on all U.S. trading partners. On the daily chart, the upper wick of the latest candle pierced the resistance level and the MACD line.

This morning, the price tested the balance line indicator but is now nearly settled below the 70.58 level, increasing the chances of reaching the next target at 68.69. At that point, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator may reach the boundary of the downtrend territory, intensifying pressure — a simultaneous price breakdown of the level and the oscillator crossing below the zero line would amplify the bearish momentum. The target level of 66.77 may be reached soon, possibly influenced by tomorrow's U.S. employment data. Caution is advised around that time.

On the H4 chart, the price has settled below the MACD line. It may pause here briefly while the Marlin oscillator cools slightly. After that, a renewed push toward 68.69 is expected, most likely with success.

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