04.04.202505:34 Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUD/USD Forecast for April 4, 2025

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The Australian dollar reacted fairly calmly to Trump's tariffs, ending the day within the broad consolidation range of 0.6273–0.6351. However, Friday began with a decisive decline, and at the moment, the price is moving below the lower boundary of the range.

The price reversal coincided with a turn of the Marlin oscillator from the zero line, signaling a potential weekly (and possibly medium-term) decline. The nearest target is the MACD line around the 0.6222 mark, coinciding with the March 31 low. A break below this level opens the path to 0.6133, which remains the primary scenario. An alternative bullish scenario would be realized if the price reclaims 0.6351, opening the way toward 0.6482.

On the H4 chart, the price has dropped below the balance and MACD indicator lines and is breaking through support at 0.6273. Marlin has entered bearish territory. We continue to monitor the development of the short-term downtrend.

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