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22.05.202617:58 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signals for XAU/USD on May 22-25, 2026: buy above $4,530 (21 SMA - symmetrical triangle)

Relevance up to 11:00 UTC--4
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Exchange Rates 22.05.2026 analysis

XAU/USD is trading around $4,523 within the ascending trend channel formed on the H1 chart. We could expect a technical bounce so that the price could reach the 200 EMA around $4,572.

According to the H1 chart, gold is overbought, so it may have difficulty rising above $4,530 in the coming hours, as the 21 SMA could exert downward pressure.

Gold is likely to return to $4,500 or even $4,580 if the downward pressure continues, potentially reaching the low of May 19th around $4,453.

We observe the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern on the H1 chart. The instrument is expected to oscillate within this pattern in the coming hours, and we foresee consolidation within this area. Only a decisive break above $4,530 would be a bullish buy signal.

Conversely, a drop below $4,490 could lead to consolidation and a potential fall to $4,453.

Dimitrios Zappas
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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