03.07.202605:47 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signals for GOLD on July 3-5, 2026: sell below $4,190 (200 EMA - 5/8 Murray)

Relevance up to 23:00 2026-07-16 UTC--4

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Gold is trading around $4,186, showing a strong upward trend after reaching $3,959 on Tuesday. XAU has posted a gain of more than $130, suggesting that the price could continue its rise in the coming days, reaching $4,375 around the 6/8 Murray level.

However, gold has currently encountered strong resistance near the upper band of the downtrend channel formed since early May. Technically, if the price of gold consolidates below $4,190—where this resistance lies—it will be seen as an opportunity to sell, with a target at the 21 SMA around $4,048.

Conversely, if gold reaches the 200 EMA around $4,269 and bullish momentum prevails, we could expect a technical correction to occur in this zone, as the 200 EMA also acts as dynamic resistance; we could then anticipate a correction toward the 5/8 Murray level around $4,062.

Our trading plan for the next few hours is to sell gold below $4,190 or $4,269. We should wait for a decisive break above the downtrend channel so that gold can reach the next resistance level, allowing us to open short positions.

A bullish scenario could be for the price to make a technical correction toward the $4,100 area or even toward $4,062, where the 5/8 Murray line is located; above this area, a technical bounce would be seen as a signal to open long positions.

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