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04.12.202511:40 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD. Technical Analysis on December 4, 2025

Relevance up to 22:00 UTC--5
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)

On Thursday, from the level of 1.1670 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.1640 — the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back upward toward the target of 1.1655 — the 50% retracement level (blue dashed line).

Exchange Rates 04.12.2025 analysis

Fig. 1 (Daily Chart)

Comprehensive Analysis:

  • Indicator analysis – down
  • Fibonacci levels – down
  • Volumes – down
  • Candlestick analysis – down
  • Trend analysis – down
  • Bollinger Bands – down
  • Weekly chart – down

Overall Conclusion: A downward trend.

Alternative Scenario:On Thursday, from the level of 1.1670 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.1619 — the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). When testing this line, the price may pull back upward toward the target of 1.1640 — the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line).

Stefan Doll
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025

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