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12.01.202608:43 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on January 12

Relevance up to 01:00 2026-01-13 UTC--5
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The bitcoin price has returned to $92,000, a very positive development. Ether has also benefited: trading is currently above $3,100, preserving the chance of continued upward momentum and a return to $3,200.

Exchange Rates 12.01.2026 analysis

The rise began Sunday evening after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned of political pressure on the central bank. Sharp price swings occurred soon after Powell, in a video address, said the U.S. Department of Justice had threatened him with criminal charges in connection with his June 2025 testimony to Congress. "The threat of criminal charges is a result of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on the best judgment of what will serve the public interest, not following the preferences of the president," Powell said; his term as Fed chair ends in May this year.

Recall that last year, U.S. President Donald Trump was a fierce critic of Powell over disagreements about the pace and depth of rate cuts. Trump repeatedly called on the Fed for deeper and faster cuts, demanding a policy rate of 1% or lower.

All this has led to a rejection of the U.S. dollar and to a strengthening of alternative assets, including crypto assets.

Regarding intraday strategy in the crypto market, I will continue to act on any large pullbacks in bitcoin and ether, expecting the long-term bull market to remain intact.

Short-term trading strategy and conditions are described below.

Exchange Rates 12.01.2026 analysis

Bitcoin

Buy scenario

Scenario 1: Buy bitcoin today if the price reaches around $92,300 with a target of $92,900. Around $92,900, I will exit longs and sell immediately on the rebound. Before buying on the breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in positive territory.

Scenario 2: Buy bitcoin from the lower boundary at $91,800 if there is no market reaction to a breakout below that level, expecting a reversal back to $92,300 and $92,900.

Sell scenario

Scenario 1: Sell bitcoin today if the price reaches around $91,800 with a target of $90,900. Around $90,900, I will exit shorts and buy immediately on the rebound. Before selling on the breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in negative territory.

Scenario 2: Sell bitcoin from the upper boundary at $92,300 if there is no market reaction to a breakout above that level, expecting a reversal back to $91,900 and $90,900.

Exchange Rates 12.01.2026 analysis

Ethereum

Buy scenario

Scenario 1: Buy ether today if the price reaches around $3,162 with a target of $3,203. Around $3,203, I will exit longs and sell immediately on the rebound. Before buying on the breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in positive territory.

Scenario 2: Buy ether from the lower boundary at $3,142 if there is no market reaction to a breakout below that level, expecting a reversal back to $3,162 and $3,203.

Sell scenario

Scenario 1: Sell ether today if the price reaches around $3,142 with a target of $3,110. Around $3,110, I will exit shorts and buy immediately on the rebound. Before selling on the breakout, make sure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in negative territory.

Scenario 2: Sell ether from the upper boundary at $3,162 if there is no market reaction to a breakout above that level, expecting a reversal back to $3,142 and $3,110.

Miroslaw Bawulski
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026

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