25.05.201209:20 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for May 25, 2012

Long-term review

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GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave C of medium term downtrend from 129.32 (light green in the chart). Within this wave we have five subwaves (red in the chart), and potential subwave A of ABC corrective cycle is developing from 124.08.

Now the resistances are Fibonacci retracements of 126.39-124.08.

Resistances:

- 124.96 = .382 retracement
- 125.24 = .50 ret
- 125.51 = .618 ret

The immediate supports are Fibonacci expansions off 131.75-127.76-129.32, 128.71-124.59-126.39.

Supports:

- 123.84 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 122.86 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 122.27 = objective point (OP)

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving down, so it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (5-10 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (30-45 pips above the current prices). Watch for opportunities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.

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