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Trading plan for 24/10/2017:
The markets are still waiting to settle in a set of political themes, which condemns trade to remain in the narrow band. Speculation that the central bank's mandate to change in New Zealand harms NZD, which is today the weakest.The rest of FX is relatively stable, waiting for settlement on the ECB side, Brexit, US tax reform, the election of the Fed Chair. EUR/USD rebounded at 1.1770 overnight. USD/JPY has fallen to 113.20 in the New York session but is already heading towards 113.50.
On Tuesday 24th of October, the event calendar is busy with important data releases in form of a set of Flash PMI Manufacturing, Services and Composite data from France, Germany, Eurozone and the US.
EUR/USD analysis for 24/10/2017:
The market participants expect the Flash PMI reading to be at least in line with the expectations, which means, the indicators should stay above the fifty level that separates expansion from contraction. Except for today's data, the list of topics that may move the markets this week is long, but for now, not much is moving in the financial markets and the volatility is low. As a result, the EUR remains frozen until Thursday ECB interest rate decision and investors are not even willing to open the limit orders before the event.
Let's now take a look at the EUR/USD technical picture at the H4 time frame. Before the week's main event, the price is moving inside of the tight horizontal zone between the levels of 1.1729 - 1.1880. The 61% Fibo at the level of 1.1876 is still the key level to the upside and any violation of this level will lead to range breakout and a rally towards the next technical resistance at the level of 1.1936. The key level to the downside is seen at the level of 1.1665.
Market Snapshot: is DAX about to start a correction?
The price of German DAX index has been trading around the level of 13,000 for some time now and has established a horizontal zone between the levels of 13,095 - 12, 908. Due to the clear and visible bearish divergence between the price and the momentum oscillator, the possibility of a deeper local correction is high. The first target would be the gap between the levels of 12.809 - 12, 849, but the dip might extend much lower.
Market Snapshot: EUR/GBP in horizontal range
The price of ERU/GBP has tested the 50% Fbo at the level of 0.9025 again but did not manage to break out above it. The market returned to the consolidation zone between the levels of 0.8856 - 0.9025 and this two levels will be the key levels for both bulls and bears in the coming days.
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