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04.10.201814:44 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for GBP/USD for October 4, 2018

Long-term review
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Exchange Rates 04.10.2018 analysis

On September 13, the depicted daily downtrend line which came to meet the pair around 1.3025-1.3090 failed to offer enough bearish pressure on the pair. Since then, the GBP/USD pair has been demonstrating a successful bullish breakout so far.

However, on H4 chart, the market failed to maintain its uptrend within the depicted bullish channel on H4 chart. The lower limit of the depicted channel (which came to meet the GBP/USD pair around 1.3190) failed to offer sufficient bullish demand.

Therefore, the GBP/USD short-term outlook turned to become bearish towards 1.3010 (50% Fibonacci level) and 1.2940 (recent demand level).

As anticipated, the price level of 1.3190 (the backside of the broken bullish channel) offered significant bearish rejection where the depicted recent bearish movement was initiated.

On the other hand, regarding the price levels (1.3010-1.3090) corresponding to 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. Currently, these price levels turned to become supply levels to be watched for bearish price action on retesting.

The current bearish persistence below 1.3010 (50% Fibo level) should be defended to pursue towards lower bearish targets. Otherwise, further bullish advancement towards 1.3090 would be expected.

On the other hand, the GBP/USD pair would have short-term bearish target around 1.2900-1.2940 (the backside of the broken daily downtrend and a prominent H4 demand zone) and possibly around 1.2845 if enough bearish pressure is demonstrated.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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