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17.10.201919:01 Forex Analysis & Reviews: October 17, 2019 : GBP/USD fails to achieve bullish breakout above the movement channel. Bearish pullback is expected to occur.

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Exchange Rates 17.10.2019 analysis

On September 20, Recent episode of bullish advancement was expressed inside the depicted bullish channel towards 1.2550 where a short-term reversal channel was demonstrated.

As anticipated, the reversal pattern was confirmed to the downside on September 23 demonstrating a successful bearish closure below 1.2450.

On September 25, the depicted bullish channel was invalidated with significant full-body bearish candlesticks which managed to achieve bearish closure below 1.2400.

Bearish persistence below 1.2400-1.2440 (Reversal-Pattern Neckline) allowed more bearish decline to occur towards the price levels of 1.2210 where a recent Double-Bottom reversal pattern was originated with neckline located around 1.2400.

Last week, the price zone of 1.2400-1.2415 (reversal pattern neckline) was breached to the upside allowing further bullish advancement to occur towards 1.2680.

Bullish persistence above 1.2680 enhances further bullish advancement towards 1.2846 (161% Fibonacci Expansion).

However, This week, signs of bearish rejection are being demonstrated around 1.2850 (upper limit of the depicted movement channel) where the GBP/USD pair is failing to achieve a successful bullish breakout outside the channel.

That's why, sideway consolidations may be demonstrated down to 1.2680-1.2620 until breakout occurs in either directions (More probably to the downside).

Bearish persistence below 1.2850 will probably bring further bearish decline towards 1.2680-1.2620 where the lower limit of the current bullish movement comes to meet the pair.

Trade Recommendations:

Intraday traders are advised to wait for a bearish breakout below 1.2780 for a valid SELL entry.

T/P levels to be placed around 1.2680 and 1.2620 while S/L should be placed above 1.2920.

Mohamed Samy
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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