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12.10.202007:47 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for October 12, 2020

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

Crypto Industry News:

According to of the latest Bloomberg newsletter, the election of Joe Biden as President of the United States would contribute to more widespread adoption of Bitcoin (BTC), including the eventual approval of ETFs. In addition, he referred to the policies of President Donald Trump's administration.

"A potential Joe Biden presidency should shine favor on further appreciation in the price of Bitcoin, in our view. New leadership may change the hands-off policy of the Trump administration - to the detriment of the broader crypto market - and nudge the firstborn benchmark toward the mainstream, improving chances for an ETF".

Given that yesterday the Justice Department released a 70-page document, "Cryptocurrency: An Enforcement Framework," the newsletter was likely written before.

The author claims that choosing Biden would also inhibit the development of DeFi. Both conclusions are based on the assumption that a "democratic system" would potentially increase regulatory transparency in the cryptocurrency market. The DeFi space has exploded this year in a completely unregulated environment. It is no coincidence that the culprits of the KuCoin hack are laundering their illicit profits via the largest decentralized exchange, Uniswap.

Bloomberg says Bitcoin's price will continue to rise regardless of the election result. It also states that if BTC continues to grow during the next presidential term - at a rate that is up to half the 2016-2020 rate - it will reach $ 80,000 by 2024:

"Seemingly unstoppable trends in U.S. debt-to-GDP, quantitative easing (QE) and the increasing Bitcoin hash rate indicate a crypto price more likely to keep advancing during the next presidential administration, in our view. About half the 1,400% gain since the 2016 vote would get the Bitcoin price toward $ 80,000 in 2024".

Technical Market Outlook:

The BTC/USD pair has been rallying from the level of $10,568 when the Bullish Engulfing pattern had been made. The pair move up all the weekend and the last high was made at the level of $11,144. The Supply Zone located between the levels of $11,062 - $11,233 had been violated, so now it can be used as a Demand Zone by bull. The market is reacting to this zone already, so the level of $11,233 is now the intraday support as the market is now consolidating in a Triangle pattern. The next target is seen at the level of $11,646 (after the Triangle breakout).

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - $12,712

WR2 - $12,078

WR1 - $11,737

Weekly Pivot - $11,125

WS1 - $10,786

WS2 - $10,156

WS3 - $9,820

Trading Recommendations:

The weekly trend on the BTC/USD pair remains up and there are no signs of trend reversal, so buy orders are preferred in the mid-term. All the dynamic corrections are still being used to buy the dips. The next mid-term target for bulls is seen at the level of $13,712. The key mid-term technical support is seen at the level of $10,000.

Exchange Rates 12.10.2020 analysis

Sebastian Seliga
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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