13.09.201816:23 Forex Analysis & Reviews: The trading plan as of September 13, 2018

In general, following yesterday's results, the dollar remained practically unchanged. Although during the day, it left a little from side to side. These movements are caused by statistical data, which turned out to be worse than forecasts. Thus, the growth rate of industrial production in Europe, which was 2.3%, was replaced by a decline of 0.1%. But in the United States, there is also nothing to be happy about, as the growth rates of producer prices slowed from 3.3% to 2.8%.

Today, ECB and BoE meetings will take place, so the day is very busy. Both central banks will leave unchanged the parameters of their monetary policies, and everything will depend on what the accompanying comments will be. The Bank of England is waiting for specifics about plans for the next year, in particular, about the rate of increase in the refinancing rate. Everyone understands that the Fed will, in any case, continue to tighten its monetary policy, and the ECB is waiting for such steps, so if the Bank of England decides to be overly cautious, then interest in the pound will be greatly reduced. Given that it seems like the UK and Europe have come to some mutually beneficial agreement on Brexit, there is a high probability that this will affect the actions of the Bank of England, which will be more confident and tough. So the pound has serious prerequisites for growth. As for the single European currency, the ECB is waiting for firm assurances that after December, under no circumstances, the program of quantitative easing will be prolonged. If you recall, when the ECB extended the program of quantitative easing, then before Mario Draghi assured everyone that nothing like this would happen. So even now, the ECB will assure that it is about to move to stricter monetary policy, which will positively affect the value of the single European currency. But the US will not be bored, since inflation data are published, which should show its slowdown from 2.9% to 2.8%. So, the dollar today has very little chance of growth.

The euro / dollar currency pair has once again returned to the limits of the periodic level of 1.1650, forming a slowdown near it. Due to the general news background, a temporary ambiguous move is possible, where traders are considering two options at once. First, in the case of a clear fixation higher than 1.1665, the path to 1.1720 will open. Secondly, considering from the point of view of the next working out of the level of 1.1650, wherein the case of fixation lower than 1.1600 the path to 1.1570-1.1550 will open.

The pound / dollar currency pair continues to move within the range of 1.3000 / 1.3050. Probably assume a temporary bump, tracking clear fixations outside the boundaries. Positions for the purchase to be pledged higher than 1.3090, with the prospect of a move to 1.3200. The position on the sale is considered in case of fixing the price lower than 1.2970, with the prospect of a move to 1.2930.