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04.10.201801:00 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD: plan for the US session on October 3. UK services slows growth

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

To open long positions for GBP/USD, it is required:

Buyers could not catch hold of the resistance level of 1.3011 after the release of a weak report on activity in the UK services sector, which led to a decrease and update of the support level of 1.2973, which I drew attention to in my morning review. At the moment, while trading is above 1.2973, buyers still have a chance to repeat the test of resistance at 1.3011 and its breakdown, which will lead to a new rising wave in the GBP/USD pair with an update of the high of 1.3046, where I recommend profit taking. In case the pound further declines, you can return long positions to a rebound from the low of the week 1.2942.

To open short positions for GBP/USD, it is required:

Sellers lacked one test of the support level of 1.2973, but it is clear that there is no activity among buyers as well. The repeated decline in the area of 1.2973 will be a good signal for opening new short positions in the GBP/USD pair in order to decrease to the lows of the week in the area of 1.2942 and update 1.2897, where I recommend to lock in the profit. In case of growth above 1.3011, short positions can be returned immediately to the rebound from the resistance of 1.3046.

Indicator signals:

Moving averages

The pair is stuck between the 30 and 50-day average, which indicates some confusion with the further direction of the market.

Bollinger Bands

The Bollinger Bands indicator continues to indicate low market volatility, which is beneficial for sellers who can resume pressure on the pound after a small correction.

Exchange Rates 04.10.2018 analysis

Indicator description

  • Moving Average (average sliding) 50 days - yellow
  • Moving Average (average sliding) 30 days - green
  • MACD: fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, SMA 9
  • Bollinger Bands 20
Miroslaw Bawulski
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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