08.10.201808:50 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on October 8, 2018

EUR/USD

On Friday, excellent data on employment in the US was released, but the dollar and the stock market got hooked. Perhaps investors did not have time to completely shift the released data to the overall economic picture and postponed the decision making a little later. New jobs in the non-agricultural sector were created 134 thousand against the forecast of 185 thousand, but for the previous month the figure was revised to increase from 201 thousand to 270 (!) thousand. The unemployment rate fell to the lowest level since Dec 1969 at 3.7% from the August value of 3.9%. Of course, the methods of calculating unemployment since then have changed many times, and now it is "not democratic" as much as possible, but the fact that it is a low figure in itself can't help but cause optimism.

The Euro added 7 points on Friday. The growth was stopped by the balance lines simultaneously on the daily and four-hour charts. However, the closing of the candle occurred above the indicator line of the Kruzenshtern and the descending line of the price channel, but we do not see much of a change in the trend in this area, not a full-fledged rebound from the levels, but a local struggle. And since the fundamental situation is not in favor of the euro, we expect the victory of the "bears" in the near future.

So, we are waiting for the reverse movement of the euro under the next support, on the four-hour chart, the return of the Marlin oscillator line to the zone of negative numbers and price reduction. The first target of 1.1376 is the high of February 2016, the second target of 1.1300 is the low of August in 2018.