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16.04.202109:08 Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUD/USD Eyeing More Gains!

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

AUD/USD is trading in the red at 0.7736 level after reaching a new high of 0.7761. A minor decline is natural and expected after the sharp rally. USDX's further decline helped the Aussie to appreciate versus the greenback.

Surprisingly or not, the USD dropped further even though the US data came in better than expected in the last days. The Retail Sales registered a 9.8% growth beating 5.8% expected, the Core Retail Sales increased by 5.1% more than 8.4% estimates, while the Unemployment Claims dropped unexpectedly lower from 769K to 576K.

Today, the US is to release the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Housing Starts, and the Building Permits. Better than expected data could push the greenback higher during the day.

AUD/USD Minor Decline!

Exchange Rates 16.04.2021 analysis

The pair ended its corrective phase after failing to reach the 50% retracement level. It's a breakout above the red downtrend line and above the weekly R1 (0.7666) announced a strong swing higher.

Now is retesting the median line (ML) of the major descending pitchfork after being rejected by the R3 (0.7756).

Stabilizing above the median line (ML) could bring a new bullish opportunity. Actually, jumping and stabilizing above the R3, a new higher high is seen as a bullish signal.

On the other hand, dropping below 0.7705 former low could signal a deeper retreat in the short term.

AUD/USD Outlook!

A bullish closure above R3 (0.7756) on the H4 chart could represent a new bullish opportunity with a first upside target at 0.7800.

Ralph Shedler
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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