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18.12.201810:20 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD: Trump again criticizes the Fed before tomorrow's increase in interest rates. Eurozone data disappoints

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While the US Federal Reserve is preparing to raise interest rates at its meeting tomorrow, US President Donald Trump has once again spoken out a number of criticisms of the committee and such actions.

Donald Trump said it is inconceivable even to consider the possibility of raising rates at the present time, as this may affect the growth of the US economy. At the same time, Trump focused on low inflation and the possibility of maintaining rates at the same level.

Let me remind you that the US president has repeatedly criticized the Fed policy in the past few months, tying up actions and accusing the Central Bank of the October sale in the US stock market. As we can see, stock indexes reached the next annual lows yesterday and show already negative values compared to the beginning of the year.

Eurozone

The data that came out yesterday in the Eurozone did not hurt the European currency much, although they were negative, indicating a further slowdown in economic growth in the 4th quarter of this year.

According to the statistics agency report, consumer prices in the eurozone increased by 1.9% in November of this year compared to the same period in 2017. The expected increase was 2% and let me remind you that in October, prices rose by 2.2%.

Exchange Rates 18.12.2018 analysis

As for core inflation in annual terms, in November it slowed to 1% from 1.1% in October.

Let me remind you that in October prices rose by 2.2%. It slowed to 1% in November from 1.1% in October.

Weak data reduced the trade surplus also did not harm the euro. As indicated in the report, a slight increase in exports was offset by a larger increase in imports. Thus, the export of goods from the eurozone increased in October compared to 2.1% in September, while imports increased by 2.6%. The overall trade surplus fell to 12.5 billion euros from 13 billion euros in September.

USA

The US data released in the afternoon did not help buyers of the American dollar.

According to the report, manufacturers in the area of responsibility of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in December indicated a slower increase in business activity. According to the data, the Fed-New York manufacturing index fell to 10.9 points in December against 23.3 points in November. Let me remind you that the positive values of the index indicate an increase in activity. Economists had expected the index to be 21 points. The index of new orders for the reporting period fell to 14.5 points from 20.4 points, while the supply index fell to 21 points.

As for the mood of housing builders in the United States, it sharply declined in December due to concerns about the availability of homes. As indicated in the report of the National Association of Home Builders, the housing market index fell to 56 points in December this year. Economists had expected the index to be 61 points.

Today there will be a number of data on the number of new housing bookmarks and the volume of building permits issued in the United States.

Jakub Novak
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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