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12.02.201909:09 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR / USD pair on February 12, 2019

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

EUR / USD pair

On Monday, the euro fell by 43 points mainly during the American session on expectations of negotiations between US trade and financial representatives with China's vice premier on mutual trade. Negotiations should take place in the second half of the week.

The price did not reach the target level of 1.1262 by a few points, but at least, the November 28 (a tick) was reached. Correction can also be from this level since convergence with the Marlin oscillator is formed on the four-hour chart. The immediate goal of the correction at 1.1335 is the resistance of the balance line and small consolidation on February 8.

We also note an interesting technical point in the period of February 4 to 11, the euro has been falling for 6 sessions in a row. A longer decline was only from 7th to 18th of November 2016, when the price fell 10 consecutive sessions in the US presidential election.

Nevertheless, the departure of the price to the level of 1.1262 will trigger a further decrease to 1.1215, and from this level, the probability of correction will approach 99% already. Contributing to this scenario, the topic on "security at the border with Mexico" will help information about reaching agreements in the US Congress. What this phrase means is not yet clear, but this fact removes the likelihood of another shutdown on February 15.

Exchange Rates 12.02.2019 analysis

Exchange Rates 12.02.2019 analysis

Laurie Bailey
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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