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16.04.201909:34 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Analysis of EUR/USD divergence for April 16. The euro currency is preparing to fall

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

4h

Exchange Rates 16.04.2019 analysis

As seen on a 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD pair made a return to the retracement level of 50.0% (1.1313) and a turn in favor of the American currency. As a result, on April 16, the quotations began to fall again in the direction of the retracement level of 61.8% (1.1281). There are no emerging divergences in any indicator on April 16. Fixing the pair above the Fibo level of 50.0% with a break of the last peak of the bearish divergence can be interpreted as a reversal in favor of the US dollar and we can expect some growth in the direction of the retracement level of 38.2% (1.134)4.

The Fibo grid was built on extremums from March 7, 2019, and March 20, 2019.

Daily

Exchange Rates 16.04.2019 analysis

As seen on the 24-hour chart, the pair closed above the retracement level of 127.2% (1.1285). However, the emerging bearish divergence allows traders to expect a reversal in favor of the US currency and a resumption of decline in the direction of the Fibo level of 161.8% (1.0941) with at least a stop near the previous two lows. Two unsuccessful attempts to close above the Fibo level of 50.0% on the 4-hour chart increase the chances of a fall beginning.

The Fibo grid was built on extremes from November 7, 2017, and February 16, 2018.

Trading advice:

Buy deals on EUR/USD pair with a target at 1.1344 if the pair consolidates above the Fibo level of 50.0% (and updates the last peak of the divergence). The stop loss order should be placed below the level of 1.1313.

Sell deals on EUR/USD pair can be opened with targets at 1.1281 and 1.1241 as the pair completed consolidation below the level of 50.0%. The stop loss order should be placed above the level of 1.1313.

Samir Klishi
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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