17.07.201911:21 Forex Analysis & Reviews: A review of EUR / USD and GBP / USD pairs as of 07/17/2019: Do not forget about Brexit

The obligatory turn of a self-respecting action movie should be the unexpected return of the villain, whom everyone has already forgotten. From this, his atrocities become even more horrifying and frightening. This is exactly what happened yesterday when the outfit of the hero of the knife and cloak again tried on Brexit, about which everyone had already forgotten. Some details of the ongoing negotiations between the UK and the European Union, which were somewhat surprised and then frightened. It became known to the honest public. First, it turns out, everyone remembered that nothing had been decided with Brexit and the parties continue to conduct some kind of negotiations. Secondly, the representatives of the United Kingdom expressed moderate optimism regarding the course of the negotiations themselves. Thirdly, representatives of the European Union made diametrically opposed statements. In particular, they said that they are ready to offer the UK some new concessions in order to avoid an unregulated Brexit. The consequences of which can turn out to be incredibly sad not only for the United Kingdom but also for the European Union in spite of Jean-Claude Juncker's loud statements that Europe has already adopted a whole host of regulations designed to minimize the damage to the European economy in the event of Brexit's unregulated situation. Apparently, in the words of a number of representatives of the European Union, the British are engaged in banal blackmail as they take advantage of this discrepancy in the actions and words of Europe. Right now, they say that if there is no option for an agreement arranging the UK, then Boris Johnson is about to come to power and on October 31, the United Kingdom will leave the European dormitory without any preliminary caresses and rake the consequences, as you wish. But Europe cannot go to such things, therefore, the representatives express serious skepticism about at least some progress in the right direction. Simply put, everyone was reminded of the inevitability of just the worst possible development of events called unregulated Brexit that dollar and grew.

Moreover, its growth began at the very moment when data on the UK labor market began to be published, which turned out to be a little different from what was expected. More precisely, they were significantly better. On the one hand, the number of applications for unemployment benefits, which was supposed to fall from 24.5 thousand to 22.8 thousand but increased to 38.0 thousand instead. However, the salary data makes you forget about such trouble. After all, it was expected that the growth rate of the average wage, excluding bonuses, would accelerate from 3.4% to 3.5%, while they accelerated to 3.6%. It is much more interesting that the growth rate of the average wage, taking into account the premiums that should have remained unchanged, accelerated from 3.2% to 3.4%. Yet, it didn't bother anyone anymore, since everyone remembered again about Brexit.

Towards evening, the dollar could already grow due to its own statistics, which showed an acceleration in retail sales growth from 2.9% to 3.4% and waited for a little less acceleration. he very same acceleration finally convinced everyone that the slowdown in inflation in the United States is temporary and there is nothing to worry about, which allowed everyone to ignore data on industrial production. The growth rate of which slowed down from 2.1% to 1.3%.

Today in the Old World, data on inflation come out. First is in the UK and after half an hour in the euro area. However, it is unlikely that these data will somehow help the pound or the single European currency since it should remain unchanged in both cases. Honestly, American statistics are unlikely to somehow affect investor sentiment since the number of building permits certainly should increase by 1 thousand. However, the number of construction projects that have begun may decrease by 8 thousand.

Since investors do not have any guidelines, they will act according to the situation and you should not forget that the dollar strengthened quite quickly yesterday, which means it is somewhat overbought. Therefore, it is worth waiting for the growth of the single European currency to 1.1225 - 1.1250.

The pound became cheaper, hence, the rebound on it suggests itself even more and the pound has good chances to grow to 1.2425.