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04.08.202112:32 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Hot Forecast for 4th August

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  • EUR/USD witnessed some selling on Wednesday in response to softer Eurozone macroeconomic releases.
  • A modest USD uptick further contributed to the intraday slide to levels just below mid-1.1800s.
  • Dovish Fed expectations capped any meaningful USD gains and might help limit the downside.

Exchange Rates 04.08.2021 analysis

The EUR/USD pair witnessed some selling during the first half of the European session and dropped to fresh weekly lows, around the 1.1840 region in the last hour.

Momentum on the four-hour chart turned to the downside that is a bearish sign. On the other hand, EUR/USD is holding above the Fibonacci 50% , which converges with the 1.1850 level – a resistance line from mid-July. That is the critical support line.

Below 1.1850, the next cushion is at 1.1830, which was a swing high in late July. It is followed by 1.1770 and 1.1750 – the latter being last month's low.

EUR/USD resistance is at 1.1910, the July high, followed by 1.1945, 1.1975 and 1.2015.

Jan Novotny
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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