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06.08.202005:45 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on August 6, 2020

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AUD/USD

No matter how hard the Australian dollar tries to break out and grow, it remains constrained within the triple divergence with the Marlin oscillator. The price showed a new high yesterday in the trend from March 19, quickly pulled back from it to support 0.7190 and today, (according to the main scenario) it is ready to go below it with a potential development of the target level of 0.7070. A price break above 0.7240 will extend the rally towards 0.7296 (January 2019 high). This price exit will not prevent a triple divergence, therefore, such a final episode before a turning into a medium-term decline is possible.

The price is above the MACD line (indicator blue) on the four-hour chart. To form a primary signal to decline, the price must consolidate below it, that is, go below 0.7175. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is trying to return to the bears territory, which, of course, will help the price decline further according to the main scenario.

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