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05.07.202217:43 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/JPY: long or short?

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

The USD/JPY pair is trading in the red at 135.81 on the H1 at the time of writing. In the short term is trapped between critical levels. It remains to see if this will be a buy or a sell, we need strong confirmation.

The currency pair seems overbought even if the Dollar Index reached fresh new highs. USD/JPY retreated as the Japanese Yen Futures rebounded. Fundamentally, the Japanese Average Cash Earnings rose by 1.0% versus 1.5% expected.

On the other hand, the US Factory Orders surged by 1.6% versus the 0.5% growth forecasted. Tomorrow, the FOMC Meeting Minutes and JOLTS Job Openings are seen as high-impact events and could really shake the markets.

USD/JPY At Crossroads!

Exchange Rates 05.07.2022 analysis

As you can see on the H1 chart, the USD/JPY pair failed to stabilize above the upper median line (uml) which represented a dynamic resistance. Technically, the rate signaled exhausted buyers after failing to make a new higher high.

Now, it challenges the 135.59 static support. This is seen as a critical downside obstacle. A new lower low could activate more declines. Only staying above this level and above the upper median line (uml) followed by a new higher high could activate further growth.

USD/JPY Outlook!

Dropping and closing below 135.59 could invalidate further growth and could bring a new selling opportunity with a first downside target at 134.74.

Ralph Shedler
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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