empty
 
 
You are about to leave
www.instaforex.eu >
a website operated by
INSTANT TRADING EU LTD
Open Account

20.10.202108:41 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD breaking forecast on October 20, 2021

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

The pound's rally stopped ahead of the North American session despite disappointing housing starts data in the US. The reading fell by 1.6%, missing expectations of a 0.9% drop. On top of that, building permits plunged by 7.8%. The indicator had been forecast to decrease by 1.8%. All this indicates that housing starts will continue to fall. Given all that, the greenback should have gone down. Instead, it edged higher. Since the publication of the industrial production report in the US, the sterling has skyrocketed, becoming overbought as a result.

United States Housing Starts:

Exchange Rates 20.10.2021 analysis

Nevertheless, GBP is incurring losses today despite a slowdown in the UK's inflation to 3.1% versus 3.2%. Although the current drop in the reading is seen as a positive factor amid a global increase in inflation, it does not change anything. Inflation is still at high levels, meaning that the Bank of England's plans for raising interest rates will remain unchanged. Moreover, such a modest fall in inflation may well turn out to be temporary, and its growth could resume next month. In addition, the sterling's recent growth may turn out to be too sharp and too rapid given that all the factors that boosted the greenback have not gone anywhere. Generally speaking, the bullish trend in USD is resuming.

United Kingdom Inflation:

Exchange Rates 20.10.2021 analysis

The corrective move in GBPUSD has resumed. As a result, the pair updated its swing high and headed towards the resistance zone of 1.3800/1.3830.

The Relative Strenght Index (RSI) is moving within the oversold zone of the H4 chart. From time to time, it touches line 70, signaling increased demand for long positions.

Meanwhile, the 50.0% retracement level provided resistance to the quote on its way upward.

There is a bearish trend on the D1 chart. In its structure, a full-size corrective move took place between September 30 and October 19.

Outlook:

It can be assumed that the trend may reverse, which is confirmed by the pound's oversold status. Consolidation below 1.3780 will signal to sell the pair. Consequently, it may go down to 1.3730. If so, the price is likely to continue falling.

In terms of complex indicator analysis, technical indicators are signalling to sell the pair for intraday and short-term trading due to a pullback from the resistance level.

Exchange Rates 20.10.2021 analysis

Dean Leo
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024

Open trading account

InstaForex analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaForex client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.




You are now leaving www.instaforex.eu, a website operated by INSTANT TRADING EU LTD
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.

Turn "Do Not Track" off