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08.12.202220:31 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/JPY: head & shoulders pattern

This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.

The USD/JPY pair is trading sideways in the short term. The price action developed a potential Head & Shoulders pattern. Still, the formation is far from being confirmed, so it's premature to talk about a larger drop.

Fundamentally, the Japanese economic data came in mixed today. Economy Watchers Sentiment was reported at 48.1 points, Final GDP dropped by 0.2% versus the 0.3% drop expected, Final GDP Price Index dropped only by 0.3% compared to the 0.5% drop estimated, Current Account came in worse than expected at -0.61T, while Bank Lending rose by 2.7% beating the 2.2% growth expected.

On the other hand, the US Unemployment Claims came in at 230K matching expectations above 226K in the previous reporting period. Tomorrow, the PPI, Core PPI, and the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment could really shake the markets.

USD/JPY Downtrend Intact!

Exchange Rates 08.12.2022 analysis

Technically, as long as USD/JPY stays under the downtrend line, the bias remains bearish. 137.65 represents a static resistance. The price action developed a Head & Shoulders. The minor uptrend line represents the neckline while the weekly pivot point of 135.94 stands as critical support.

A new downside movement could be invalidated only by a valid breakout through the downtrend line.

USD/JPY Forecast!

A valid breakdown below the weekly pivot point (135.94) activates the reversal pattern and brings new selling opportunities. This scenario could announce a 164 pips sell-off.

Ralph Shedler
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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