11.02.201418:25 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical analysis of USD/JPY for Feburary 10, 2014

Long-term review

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Overview:

USD/JPY is expected to consolidate after hitting its six-day high of 102.65 on Monday as markets await the Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen's first semiannual testimony before the U.S. House Financial Services Committee. Ms. Yellen is expected to deliver a message of continuity in U.S. monetary policy. Liquidity was thin in Asia today as financial markets in Japan were shut for holiday. USD/JPY is undermined by subdued investor risk appetite, soft U.S. dollar sentiment (ICE spot dollar index last 80.63 versus 80.74 early Monday) as Friday's weaker-than-expected U.S. January non-farm payrolls data continue to weigh and buy-yen orders from Japan exporters. But USD/JPY downside is limited by sell-yen orders from Japan's importers and ultra-loose Bank of Japan's monetary policy stance.

Technical сomment:

Daily chart is mixed as MACD is in bearish mode, but stochastics is rising from an oversold zone.

Trading recommendation:

The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a higher range as far as it remains above its pivot point. As far as the price is above its pivot point, a long position is recommended with the first target at 102.65 and the second target at 102.9. In an alternative scenario, if the price moves below its pivot points, short positions are recommended with the first target at 101.55. A breach of this target will push the pair further downwards and one may expect the second target at 101.2. The pivot point is at 102.05.

Resistance levels:
102.65
102.9
103.25

Support levels:
101.55
101.2
100.75

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