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On March 12, the bulls failed to establish an ascending top. Instead, a Double Top reversal pattern was established at 1.5500. The neckline was located at 1.5170-1.5200 also corresponding to the lower limit of the depicted channel.
By breakdown of 1.51750, the Double Top pattern could not only achieve its projection target at 1.4820-1.4800, but also confirmed a bigger Head and Shoulders pattern as well.
The bears managed to break down 1.4950 corresponding to 50% Fibonacci level last week (the nearest Support level). This exposed the price level of 1.4750 ( 61.8% Fibonacci ).
Trading above 1.4740 on a daily basis will probably hinder further bearish progression giving some time for sideway consolidation at least for retesting of 1.4945 (50% Fibonacci) which is a prominent resistance now.
On the other hand, daily closure below 1.4740 (yesterday's daily low) and a slide below 1.4675 will open the way towards 1.4350 as a projection target for the long-term bearish pattern.
Until now, the bulls are offering support around 1.4700-1.4725 where two successive bullish daily candlestick were expressed this week.
This may enhance the bullish pull-back towards 1.4945 as an initial target.
On the long-term prospective, projection targets of the H&S reversal pattern are projected towards 1.4350 roughly.
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