14.07.201404:30 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Monthly forecast and an intraday recommendation on EUR/USD for July 14-18, 2014

Long-term review

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EUR/USD

Traders will keep an eye on today's economic data about the Euro zone industrial production and the speech of Mario Draghi, the ECB president. The pair is facing strong resistance at 50 WSma at 1.3620. In Asia's session the pair is trading at 1.3599.

Monthly forecast -

The trading pattern is framed between 1.3575-1.37 for the week July 14-18. We can see the extension of the trading range. We expect the pair to hit the downside trading range at 1.3575, looking at the downside target at the 1.3215 levels. Until the pair trades below the 1.37 (monthly resistance), we recommend to sell on a rally with sl 1.3720.

On the downside, it has support at 1.3574 (weekly support), below this 1.35 (swing low), 1.3477, and 1.3420 levels. We can see heavy selling pressure below 1.3420 (200 WEma) up to 1.33 and 1.3215.

Levels to watch 1.3575 < 1.35 < 1.3477 < 1.3460< 1.3420 < 1.33 < 1.3215

For an intraday basis, the pair is trading below the hourly moving averages. The pair made an intraday high at 1.3608, rejected at 34 hr Sma and pushed down. On the down side, it has minor support at 1.3588 and major at 1.3575 levels. We recommend to sell again below 1.3575 for an open target at 1.35 and 1.3452 levels. Earlier, we recommend to sell at 1.3649 levels.

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