21.07.201400:48 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold wave analysis for July 21, 2014

Long-term review

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Gold price has risen from $1,290 to $1,325 as expected. Price has pulled back up towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement in a three wave corrective move. Trend remains down. Price was rejected at resistance and we have now formed an important lower top. Price is below Ichimoku cloud and as price makes lower highs and lower lows we confirm trend is down.

Gold price is now expected to continue its downward move that started at $1,346 where I believe wave E of wave 4 was completed. The first part of the decline was impulsive and the upward correction not. This means that more downside is expected and a lower low from $1,290 should be seen this week. My first target is $1,280-70.

Gold price is expected to move towards the Ichimoku cloud support near $1,280 and test the important triangle support trend line at $1,270. If this trend line is broken, we will have confirmation that wave E was completed and a new downward move has started that will eventually push Gold price towards $1,000.

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