18.11.201412:56 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for November 18 - 2014

Long-term review

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Today's support and resistance levels:

R3: 146.69

R2: 146.40

R1: 146.18

Current spot: 145.95

S1: 145.71

S2: 145.60

S3: 145.35

Technical summary:

Despite a new high at 146.69, the odds favor this as being a b-wave rally of an expanded flat correction, this means that we should still see an impulsive decline in wave c soon towards 142.06. A break below support at 145.35 will confirm the rally to 146.69 as being a b-wave and tell us that wave c lower is developing. The risk is a bottom above 145.35 followed by a new rally to above 146.69 calling for a new top near 147.00 before the top finally is in place. Ideally, resistance at 146.50 will protect the upside for now.

Trading recommendation:

Our short position from 145.75 was stopped out at 146.60, but we will sell EUR again at 146.35 with a stop at 146.75.

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