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19.12.201416:40 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for December 19, 2014

Long-term review

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Overview:

The GBP/USD pair has been moving downward respecting the depicted bearish channel since mid-September when the ongoing channel was initiated. Many bearish impulses were previously initiated around 1.6450, 1.6170, and 1.5940 where the upper limit of the channel came to meet the pair.

The price zone of 1.5890-1.5870 constituted a transient daily support that paused the bearish movement for a few days. However, bears quickly managed to push lower.

Failure of the market to defend the price zone of 1.5890-1.5900 allowed bears to push towards the support level located around 1.5600.

The GBP/USD pair looked quite oversold after such long bearish swing off 1.6500.

Bullish correction was anticipated around 1.5600 as it is a prominent WEEKLY support corresponding to multiple previous tops established back in May and June 2013. That is why the market meets prominent bullish rejection each time bears push below 1.5600 - 1.5580

Bullish fixation above the price level of 1.5760 (bullish breakout of the daily bearish channel) exposes the price levels of 1.5880 and 1.5950 for retesting.

However, less probably, a break below the recent bottoms established around 1.5580-1.5540 renders the current consolidation range as a bearish flag pattern with projected target at 1.5310 like what happened back in October.

Trade Recommendation:

Wait for bullish fixation above 1.5760 for a LONG entry with SL as daily closure below entry levels. TP should be located at 1.5800 and 1.5880.

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