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30.04.201217:20 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD Weekly Pivot Points for April 30 - May 4, 2012

Long-term review
This information is provided to retail and professional clients as part of marketing communication. It does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance. Instant Trading EU Ltd. makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, or any loss arising from any investment based on analysis, forecast or other information provided by an employee of the Company or otherwise. Full disclaimer is available here.
Exchange Rates 30.04.2012 analysis

Fundamental overview:
USD/CHF is expected to consolidate with bullish bias after hitting a six-week high of 0.9625 on Tuesday. It is underpinned by the negative Swiss interest rates and by the threat of the Swiss National Bank to carry out CHF-selling intervention. The Swissie sentiment is boosted by the stronger-than-expected on-year expansion of 1.9% in Switzerland's GDP in 4Q (versus forecast +1.8%).

Technical comment:
The daily chart is positive-biased as the MACD and stochastics are bullish, although the latter is at overbought levels. Five- and 15-day moving averages are advancing.

Trading recommendations:
The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a higher range as far as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price is keeping above its pivot point, a long position is recommended with the first target at 0.9670 and the second target at 0.9705. In an alternative scenario, if the price moves below its pivot points, short positions are recommended with the first target at 0.9530. A break of this target would push the pair further downwards, and one may expect the second target at 0.9495. The pivot point is at 0.9570.

Resistance levels:
0.9670
0.9705
0.9745

Support levels:
0.9530
0.9495
0.9545

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