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28.09.201509:56 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold technical analysis for September 28, 2015

Long-term review

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Gold price tested the level of $1.150, important resistance of the triangle pattern, on Friday and broke above it. However, the price came sharply back inside the triangle area implying that this breakout was a fake one. Bulls need to hold support at $1.120 reaching a new higher high, otherwise this fake breakout can be interpret as a bearish sign.

Green lines - triangle

Red line - support

Gold price continues to trade above the Ichimoku cloud. It is above the red trend-line support, but we should not forget the rejection and fake breakout at $1,150. Bulls have not lost the battle yet as the price has made a higher low and holds above support. This is an area to go long and to add above the short-term resistance at $1,151. Breaking above $1,150 again will be a bullish sign and could push the price towards $1,170 in the short term. Support is found at $1,128 and then at $1,105.

The weekly chart shows how the price remains trapping between the kijun- and tenkan-sen indicators. It is important for bulls to hold above the tenkan-sen (red line indicator) and break above the yellow line indicator. This will confirm a bullish trend at least for the short-term and we might even see a bounce towards the Ichimoku cloud near $1,200 in order to test the longer-term bearish trend.

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