21.09.201211:19 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD. Forecast for September 21, 2012

Long-term review

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The hopes for the positive fundamentals were not realized. The descending movement continued after the Asian session. Manufacturing PMI in the Eurozone was above expectations (46.0 against 45.6), services PMI demonstrated worse results: 46.0 against 47.6. 10Y bonds auction was quite successful, the yield made up 5.67% against 6.65%, however, the stock yields grew from 5.69% to 5.77%. There were rumors that the yield rose as the result of speculations in order to make Spain ask for bailout. Same evening, the market got the news that Spain will ask for financial aid next week. After this information the euro reversed its downward movement despite poor jobless claims index from the USA and Markit manufacturing PMI.
We do not expect any macroeconomic data from the Eurozone and the USA today.
Technically, the growth is possible towards 1.3028 (but first we should see a breakout of 1.3002), 1.3081. However, due to yesterday’s fall, 1.2930 area can be tested once again.

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