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On January 2015, the EUR/USD pair moved below the major demand levels around 1.2100 and 1.2000 where historical bottoms were previously established back in July 2012 and June 2010. Hence, a long-term bearish target is projected towards 0.9450.
On March 2015, EUR/USD bears challenged the monthly demand level of 1.0570 (established in January 1997). One month later, strong bullish recovery was observed around the mentioned demand level.
April's candlestick came as bullish engulfing one. However, next monthly candlesticks (September, October and November) reflected strong bearish rejection around the level of 1.1450.
As mentioned above, the long-term projected target is still seen at 0.9450 if the current monthly candlestick closes below the depicted demand level of 1.0570.
On August 2015, the EUR/USD pair looked overbought as the market spiked above the level of 1.1500 (daily supply level).
Shortly after, the intraday supply zone of 1.1360-1.1400 produced significant bearish pressure.
A bearish breakout of the depicted uptrend was performed on October 23. This enhanced a long-term bearish scenario with targets at 1.0800 and 1.0600.
On November 2015, daily persistence below the level of 1.0800 (a prominent key level) ensured enough bearish momentum towards 1.0550 (a monthly demand level) where the recent bullish pullback was initiated towards 1.0800 and 1.1000.
During the last few weeks, the level of 1.1000 was considered to be the significant supply level to offer valid sell entries. Moreover, a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern was executed as depicted on the chart.
The previous bearish closure below 1.0800 (the reversal pattern neckline) confirmed the depicted reversal pattern. An estimated bearish target is located at 1.0620.
Today, bearish persistence below 1.0800 (neckline of the depicted reversal pattern) is needed to allow more bearish decline to occur towards 1.0730, 1.0620, and 1.0570.
On the other hand, bullish persistence above 1.0830 hinders further bearish decline. Hence, a bullish pullback towards 1.1000 would be expected.
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